Rational brain · Judgment & Decision Science

Regret Avoidance Drift

Choosing the default or the consensus option to avoid being blamed if things go wrong; nobody was fired for buying the incumbent, and the incumbent knows it.

An everyday example

Picking the market-leading vendor with the worse fit because the failure would be defensible.

What it can cost you

Optimising for blame-avoidance rather than outcome; being sold defensibility.

Warning signs

  • I am choosing what I can justify, not what works.
  • The incumbent's pitch is safety.

One thing to do

Separate the two questions in writing: which option is best, and which is most defensible; if they differ, make the case for the best one.

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