Cultural brain · Norms, Conformity & Legitimacy

Informational Cascades

People copy earlier choosers assuming they knew something; after a few imitators everyone is copying nobody's information, and the cascade is fragile — fads, bubbles and meme stocks share the structure.

An everyday example

A restaurant full because it was full; a stock rising because it was rising.

What it can cost you

Following a crowd that is following a crowd; mistaking a cascade for evidence.

Warning signs

  • Everyone is doing it and nobody can say why.
  • The reason is that others did.

One thing to do

Ask what the first movers actually knew and whether later movers added information or just numbers.

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